Library/PT 150/Sec 4/Reading Comp
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Reading Comprehension

Passage Breakdown

Dowsing is the practice of walking with sticks or rods that supposedly move when water or other things are underground. Critics say it’s mostly guesswork and inconsistent, and that tools just reflect the dowser’s subconscious guesses and are often used where water is common. Supporters say there are different dowsing methods, many studies use the wrong people, and skilled dowsers might sense tiny underground signals. A careful study in dry areas found top dowsers picked drilling sites more accurately than geologists, suggesting dowsers might detect real subsurface differences.

Logic Breakdown

Identify the skeptics' explicit claim that dowsing successes may be explainable by the ubiquity of groundwater (high baseline probability), and pick the choice that attributes apparent success to abundance of the target rather than to practitioners' special ability.

Passage Stimulus

Passage Redacted

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17.

The reasoning in which one of the following is most analogous to an argument explicitly attributed to dowsing's skeptics in the passage?

Correct Answer
D
Passage quote: "Finally, skeptics note, dowsing to locate groundwater is largely confined to areas where groundwater is expected to be ubiquitous, making it statistically unlikely that a dowsed well will be completely dry." Explanation: Choice D ('...the lakes in the area are so loaded with fish it would be difficult not to pick a good spot') is parallel: both arguments say the resource is so common that selecting a successful site is likely even without any special sensing ability, so apparent skill can be explained by abundance.
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