Passage Summary: A consultant claims that if a candidate keeps her current plan, she'll lose slightly with the youth vote but win big with the older crowd, which will be enough to win the whole thing.

Conclusion: Whalley will win the election if she maintains her current political platform.

Reasoning: Sticking to her platform will cause her to lose by a small margin among voters under 50 but win by a larger margin among voters aged 50 and older.

Analysis: The consultant is making a leap from 'percentage margins' to an 'overall victory' without accounting for the actual number of voters in each group. If the under-50 group is significantly larger than the 50-and-over group, a 'few percentage points' loss could represent more total people than a 'bigger percentage' win in the smaller group. To make this argument logically airtight, we need an assumption that guarantees the older voter block is large enough to ensure the total vote count favors Whalley. Look for an answer that addresses the relative sizes of these two voter populations.