Flawed ReasoningDiff: Hard
Logic Breakdown
Passage Summary: A travel agent argues that major airlines are safer because we have more data on them, while newer low-fare airlines haven't been around long enough to prove they are safe.
Conclusion: Passengers are safer traveling on major airlines than on newer low-fare airlines.
Reasoning: Low-fare airlines have short histories that make their safety records unreliable, whereas major airlines have long-standing, reliable safety records.
Analysis: The travel agent is confusing the 'reliability of data' with 'actual safety.' Just because we lack a long-term statistical track record for a new airline doesn't mean that airline is inherently dangerous; it just means we are less certain about its safety level. The flaw lies in treating a lack of proof (unreliable records) as proof of a negative (unsafe). Look for an answer that points out this confusion between the quality of evidence and the actual condition of the airlines.
Conclusion: Passengers are safer traveling on major airlines than on newer low-fare airlines.
Reasoning: Low-fare airlines have short histories that make their safety records unreliable, whereas major airlines have long-standing, reliable safety records.
Analysis: The travel agent is confusing the 'reliability of data' with 'actual safety.' Just because we lack a long-term statistical track record for a new airline doesn't mean that airline is inherently dangerous; it just means we are less certain about its safety level. The flaw lies in treating a lack of proof (unreliable records) as proof of a negative (unsafe). Look for an answer that points out this confusion between the quality of evidence and the actual condition of the airlines.
Passage Stimulus
Passage Redacted
Unlock Full Passage18.Of the following, which one is the criticism to which the reasoning in the travel agent's argument is most vulnerable?
Correct Answer
C
It directly targets the flaw: even if major airlines have reliable, long-standing records, those records could show that the airline is unsafe. Reliability of evidence doesn’t guarantee positive content. The conclusion that passengers are safer on major airlines unjustifiably assumes the records show safety rather than danger.
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