ParadoxDiff: Hard

Logic Breakdown

Passage Summary: Police records say crime is up, but when you ask regular people, they report fewer crimes happening overall than they did twenty years ago.

Reasoning: Official police records show that the crime rate per 100,000 people has increased, yet citizen surveys suggest the total number of crimes has actually decreased over the same period.

Analysis: We are looking for a way to make these two seemingly contradictory facts coexist. The discrepancy might involve the difference between 'reported' crime and 'actual' crime, or perhaps a shift in population size that affects the 'per 100,000' calculation. If people are much more likely to report crimes to the police now than they were in the past, the official records would rise even if the actual number of crimes fell. Look for an answer that explains why police data and citizen perceptions would move in opposite directions.

Passage Stimulus

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19.

Which one of the following, if true, would most help to resolve the apparent discrepancy described by the criminologist?

Correct Answer
E
If a much greater proportion of crimes are reported now than 20 years ago, then reported crimes per 100,000 can increase even if the actual total number of crimes has decreased. This reconciles higher police-reported incidence with surveys indicating fewer total crimes.
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