ParadoxDiff: Hard

Logic Breakdown

Passage Summary: A poll taken at people's houses showed the current leader winning by a lot, but the challenger actually won the election.

Reasoning: N/A

Analysis: We have a classic polling mystery here. To resolve this, we need to find a reason why the poll results didn't translate to the ballot box. Perhaps the 'at-home' demographic didn't represent the actual 'at-the-polls' demographic, or maybe Kenner's supporters were all talk and no walk. Look for an answer that identifies a meaningful difference between the people who were interviewed and the people who actually voted.

Passage Stimulus

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22.

Which one of the following, if true, most helps to resolve the apparent discrepancy described by the statements above?

Correct Answer
E
E resolves the discrepancy: if Muratori’s supporters were more likely to view the election as important, they would be more likely to turn out. A poll of eligible voters can show Kenner ahead, yet the subset who actually vote can favor Muratori.
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