Flawed ReasoningDiff: Easy
Logic Breakdown
Passage Summary: A publisher says they won't make money because their best-selling book won't hit the 100,000-copy goal needed for the whole company to be profitable.
Conclusion: The publishing company is unlikely to turn a profit this year.
Reasoning: A profit requires 100,000 total book sales, but the single most popular book in their 12-title lineup is expected to sell fewer than 100,000 copies.
Analysis: The executive is making a 'part-to-whole' error by focusing entirely on the performance of a single book. Even if the top seller doesn't hit 100,000 on its own, the combined sales of all twelve titles could easily surpass that threshold. You should anticipate an answer that points out this failure to consider the cumulative total of all products. It's a bit like a coach saying the team will lose because the star player won't score 100 points by himself.
Conclusion: The publishing company is unlikely to turn a profit this year.
Reasoning: A profit requires 100,000 total book sales, but the single most popular book in their 12-title lineup is expected to sell fewer than 100,000 copies.
Analysis: The executive is making a 'part-to-whole' error by focusing entirely on the performance of a single book. Even if the top seller doesn't hit 100,000 on its own, the combined sales of all twelve titles could easily surpass that threshold. You should anticipate an answer that points out this failure to consider the cumulative total of all products. It's a bit like a coach saying the team will lose because the star player won't score 100 points by himself.
Passage Stimulus
Passage Redacted
Unlock Full Passage2.The publishing executive's argument is most vulnerable to criticism because it overlooks the possibility that
Correct Answer
D
D highlights the classic part-to-whole mistake: facts about individual titles’ sales prospects don’t directly determine the combined total. This is exactly the oversight that makes the executive’s conclusion vulnerable.
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