Flawed ReasoningDiff: Medium
Logic Breakdown
Passage Summary: A local official argues that a report saying four businesses leave every week must be wrong because, if that were true, the town would have run out of businesses years ago.
Conclusion: The Planning Board's estimate that businesses are leaving at a rate of four per week is a massive exaggeration.
Reasoning: If businesses had been leaving at that rate for the past ten years, all of the region's 1,000 businesses would have disappeared long ago.
Analysis: The President's math is fine, but his logic is stuck in the past. He assumes that because the Planning Board's 'recent' estimate is four per week, that rate must have been the same for the entire ten-year period he is referencing. It is entirely possible that the exodus started very recently or has accelerated significantly. The flaw lies in applying a current, specific rate to a long-term historical timeline without evidence that the rate was constant. Look for an answer that points out this temporal mismatch.
Conclusion: The Planning Board's estimate that businesses are leaving at a rate of four per week is a massive exaggeration.
Reasoning: If businesses had been leaving at that rate for the past ten years, all of the region's 1,000 businesses would have disappeared long ago.
Analysis: The President's math is fine, but his logic is stuck in the past. He assumes that because the Planning Board's 'recent' estimate is four per week, that rate must have been the same for the entire ten-year period he is referencing. It is entirely possible that the exodus started very recently or has accelerated significantly. The flaw lies in applying a current, specific rate to a long-term historical timeline without evidence that the rate was constant. Look for an answer that points out this temporal mismatch.
Passage Stimulus
Passage Redacted
Unlock Full Passage13.The argument is most vulnerable to criticism on the ground that it
Correct Answer
D
D correctly identifies the flaw: the argument treats a claim about what is currently the case (four per week are leaving now) as if it were a claim about what has been the case for an extended period (long enough that all 1,000 would be gone).
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