Logic Breakdown

Passage Summary: Katelin thinks it's going to snow. Since snow would cancel the car show, the speaker assumes Katelin also thinks the car show will be canceled.

Conclusion: Katelin likely believes the antique car show will be called off.

Reasoning: Katelin believes a storm is coming, and a storm would definitely cause the show to be canceled.

Analysis: This argument suffers from a 'belief' flaw, assuming that if someone believes a premise, they must also believe every logical consequence of that premise. Katelin might know about the snow but have no idea there was a car show scheduled in the first place! In your search for a parallel, look for an answer choice that assumes a person's awareness of one fact automatically grants them awareness of a related outcome. It's a bit like assuming that because I know it's Tuesday, I must also know it's 'Taco Tuesday' at the local diner.

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25.

The questionable pattern of reasoning in the argument above is most closely parallel to that in which one of the following?

Correct Answer
B
B mirrors the pattern exactly: Bo says A (soil is poorly drained). The arguer supplies A -> B (raspberries won’t grow well in poorly drained soil) and concludes Bo probably believes B (raspberries won’t grow well in his yard). It makes the same questionable leap about Bo sharing the conditional.
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