Passage Summary: When the economy is doing well, more parents need childcare because they are working, but childcare workers tend to quit to find better-paying jobs elsewhere, creating a shortage.

Conclusion: A robust economy will likely result in greater difficulty for parents seeking day care for their children.

Reasoning: Economic growth leads to higher employment and increased demand for day care, while simultaneously causing day-care workers to leave for higher-paying jobs in other sectors.

Analysis: The economist identifies two simultaneous trends—increasing demand and decreasing supply—to predict a market squeeze. To make this argument hold water, we must assume that the loss of workers isn't being balanced out by something else, like new technology or a sudden influx of new workers. Look for an answer that confirms the number of day-care workers won't actually increase or stay stable despite people quitting. If the total number of available spots doesn't drop or the demand isn't as high as predicted, the conclusion falls apart.