WeakenDiff: Medium
Logic Breakdown
Passage Summary: Even if the anti-smoking classes are a bust, the high taxes will work because sales always tank when the price goes up.
Conclusion: The proposed cigarette tax increases will successfully lead to a reduction in smoking.
Reasoning: Data indicates that cigarette sales significantly decrease in cities that implement high taxes on tobacco.
Analysis: The Mayor's argument hinges on the assumption that a drop in local *sales* is the same thing as a drop in *smoking*. To weaken this, we need to find a reason why sales might go down while smoking stays the same. If residents are simply crossing the city line to buy cheaper cigarettes in the next town over, the Mayor's tax hasn't actually stopped anyone from lighting up; it's just moved the transaction elsewhere.
Conclusion: The proposed cigarette tax increases will successfully lead to a reduction in smoking.
Reasoning: Data indicates that cigarette sales significantly decrease in cities that implement high taxes on tobacco.
Analysis: The Mayor's argument hinges on the assumption that a drop in local *sales* is the same thing as a drop in *smoking*. To weaken this, we need to find a reason why sales might go down while smoking stays the same. If residents are simply crossing the city line to buy cheaper cigarettes in the next town over, the Mayor's tax hasn't actually stopped anyone from lighting up; it's just moved the transaction elsewhere.
Passage Stimulus
Passage Redacted
Unlock Full Passage6.Which one of the following, if true, most undermines the reasoning in the argument above?
Correct Answer
C
If cigarette sales usually increase substantially in surrounding areas after a city raises its cigarette taxes, the observed drop in city sales likely reflects cross-border purchasing rather than reduced smoking. That undercuts the mayor’s inference from city sales to actual smoking reduction.
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