Passage Summary: Old math says people can live to 130, but a new method says the limit is much lower, and so far, the real-world data matches the new method.

Reasoning: Traditional statistics suggest humans can live to 130, but extreme value theory (EVT) suggests a limit of 113 to 124 years, and so far, no one has exceeded the EVT limit.

Analysis: We are looking for a deduction based on the conflict between two statistical models. We know that the traditional curves predict a lifespan (130+) that has never been observed in reality, while the EVT curves predict a lower limit that has held true so far. This implies that the traditional methods are likely overestimating how long humans can actually live. Look for an inference that suggests the EVT model is more consistent with current observations than the traditional model.