Logic Breakdown

Passage Summary: A study says the Earth is permanently hotter because the last five years were records, but the author notes that even a ten-year record-breaking streak can just be a fluke.

Reasoning: While a study uses five years of record-high temperatures to argue for a permanent climate shift, historical data shows that even ten-year streaks of record highs can be attributed to normal, random variations.

Analysis: This 'Most Strongly Supported' question requires us to synthesize the two statements into a safe inference. If a ten-year period of record heat can be a random fluctuation, then a five-year period is certainly not enough to prove a permanent change. We should look for an answer that suggests the study's conclusion is premature or that five years of data is insufficient to establish a permanent trend. The focus here is on the gap between short-term data and long-term claims.

Passage Stimulus

Passage Redacted

Unlock Full Passage

4.

Which one of the following is most strongly supported by the information above?

Correct Answer
B
Because even ten-year runs of record highs can often be due to random fluctuations, a five-year run cannot reliably be taken to signify a permanent increase. So five successive years like that do not always indicate permanence.
Upgrade Your Prep

Ready to go beyond free explanations?

LSAT Perfection is the #1 modern LSAT prep platform, trusted by thousands of students for comprehensive test strategies, advanced drilling, and full analytics on every PrepTest.

Detailed explanations for 59 PrepTests
Advanced drillset builder
Personalized analytics
Built-in Wrong Answer Journal
Explore Perfection Plus for full LSAT prep