Logic Breakdown

Passage Summary: Astorga is just telling voters exactly what they want to hear based on polls. Because of this, the author claims we don't actually know what she plans to do if she wins.

Conclusion: Voters are not being informed of Astorga's true intentions for her potential term as mayor.

Reasoning: Astorga's campaign promises are based entirely on what opinion polls indicate the public wants to hear, rather than her own personal plans.

Analysis: The author is quite cynical here, assuming that because Astorga is following the polls, she must be hiding her 'real' agenda. However, this argument has a glaring logical gap: what if Astorga actually wants to do exactly what the voters want? If her personal goals happen to align perfectly with the poll results, then by repeating the polls, she is indeed telling the truth about her intentions. For the conclusion to hold, the argument must assume that her private intentions are different from the public's preferences. It’s the classic 'politician as a mirror' vs. 'politician as a mask' dilemma.

Passage Stimulus

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6.

Which one of the following is a questionable assumption on which the argument relies?

Correct Answer
E
E states the missing link: Astorga does not actually intend to do the poll-backed actions. Negation test: If she does intend to do them, then voters are being told what she intends, killing the conclusion. So E is necessary.
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