WeakenDiff: Medium

Logic Breakdown

Passage Summary: Global warming is making a weather pattern called El Niño happen more often, which makes it rain a lot in one specific area. Since rain usually means more rats and mice, that area is about to get a lot more of them.

Conclusion: Rodent populations in region T will likely increase in the coming decades.

Reasoning: Global warming will make El Niño more frequent, El Niño brings heavy rain to region T, and heavy rain typically leads to more rodents.

Analysis: The ecologist is predicting a rodent boom based on a chain of events: global warming leads to El Niño, which leads to rain, which leads to rodents. To weaken this, you should look for a break in that chain, particularly between the rain and the rodent population. Perhaps the 'heavy winter rainfall' mentioned is actually harmful to rodents, or maybe other environmental factors in region T will counteract the population growth. Focus on finding an answer that suggests the 'sustained rain' rule doesn't apply here.

Passage Stimulus

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12.

Which one of the following, if true, would most weaken the ecologist's argument?

Correct Answer
D
If winters with high rainfall in region T usually do not involve long periods of sustained rain, then the condition that typically increases rodent populations is absent. This breaks the key link from heavy rainfall to sustained rain to rodent population growth, weakening the conclusion.
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