Logic Breakdown

Passage Summary: The police believe only two people could have done the crime; since they've ruled out one, they are certain the other one is the thief.

Conclusion: Forster is definitely the person who committed the burglary.

Reasoning: There are only two suspects in the case, and one of them has a solid alibi.

Analysis: The flaw here is a False Dilemma. The argument assumes that the list of two suspects is exhaustive, ignoring the very real possibility that a third, unknown person committed the crime. To parallel this flaw, look for an argument that identifies two possibilities, eliminates one, and concludes the other must be true, while failing to prove that those were the only two options to begin with. It's the classic 'it's either A or B' mistake when C is still lurking in the shadows.

Passage Stimulus

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25.

Which one of the following arguments exhibits a flawed pattern of reasoning that is most similar to that exhibited by the argument above?

Correct Answer
D
D matches the pattern: the company was considering moving to Evansville and also to Rivertown; now it won’t move to Evansville; therefore it will move to Rivertown. That mirrors eliminating one of two considered options and concluding the other must be true, overlooking possibilities like not moving at all or moving somewhere else.
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