Passage Summary: If Slater wins the election, McGuinness gets the job, even though Yerxes is more qualified. Since the polls show Slater is going to win, it's very likely McGuinness will end up with the position.

Reasoning: A Slater victory guarantees McGuinness's appointment; Yerxes is objectively more qualified than McGuinness; and the current polls indicate that Slater is likely to win.

Analysis: This question requires us to synthesize the conditional statement with the factual probability provided. If we take the polls as accurate, then Slater wins, which triggers the appointment of McGuinness. Therefore, if the polls are right, the planning commission will be headed by someone who is not the most qualified candidate. Look for an answer that reflects this chain of events or the resulting irony regarding the candidates' qualifications.